Analysis: What would the DK Metcalf extension look like with Seahawks?

Over the past three months, the NFL has seen an incredible number of star players switch teams in one of the busiest offseasons in league history. Pressing the reset button, the Seahawks were at the forefront of the mayhem, shockingly trading quarterback Russell Wilson to the Broncos and releasing All-Pro linebacker Bobby Wagner in March.

But while Wilson’s move to Mile High City may stand out as the most significant addition made by any team this spring, this offseason has truly been defined by an unprecedented move coupled with skyrocketing contracts for the superstar receivers.

The madness began when the Packers couldn’t agree with Davante Adams on a new contract, forcing them to trade him to the Raiders in a rare sign-and-trade deal. Shortly after, the Chiefs shipped Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins, who gave him a record extension that topped Adams’ deal. Then, in the 2022 NFL Draft, the Titans stunned the football world by sending AJ Brown to the Eagles, who quickly signed him for a monster extension.

On the heels of Adams and Hill’s trades, given the skyrocketing cost of elite receivers and the state of the team’s rebuild minus Wilson and Wagner, speculation over DK’s future Metcalf in Seattle ensued. As the young star entered the final year of his rookie contract, many wondered if a trade like the one Tennessee finally made with Brown would come to fruition come draft weekend.

However, the Seahawks never entertained the idea of ​​trading Metcalf, who showed up for the start of the team’s offseason program on April 18 despite his contract situation. While rehab after offseason foot surgery has limited what he can do on the court so far, he has already taken on an expanded leadership role and has publicly stated he wants to stay in Seattle for the long term. .

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DK Metcalf

What do these deals mean for Metcalf and the Seahawks as they try to find their own extension? Comparing contracts can be like comparing apples to oranges, especially in this case.

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With just one season of over 1,000 receiving yards on his resume and only one All-Pro selection, Metcalf hasn’t posted numbers as showy as Hill, Adams or Diggs. From a production perspective, Seattle could potentially argue that he didn’t quite make $28 million a year as one of the top three earners in his position.

But at the same time, the 6-foot-3, 228-pound Metcalf just turned 24 in December and remains a rising superstar. According to Pro Football Reference, he is one of only five players in NFL history to produce 3,100 receiving yards, 200 receptions and 29 receiving touchdowns in his first three seasons. With this achievement, he is in the exclusive company of the likes of Hall of Famers Randy Moss and Jerry Rice.

Metcalf has also already made history in Seattle, breaking Steve Largent’s single-season receiving yardage record in 2020. He also ranks first in the franchise record books for receiving yards and receptions. in his first three seasons, while trailing only Daryl Turner in touchdowns.

Given his youth, rare physical talents and impressive numbers to start his career, Metcalf and his agent are expected to push for a four-year deal worth between $100 million and $120 million and north of $70 million in guarantees. In other words, a deal between what the Eagles have paid Brown annually and the two major contracts Adams and Hill signed should be perfect for both parties.

Based on how Seattle generally conducts business, one would expect Metcalf’s contract to be more like Brown’s deal in terms of structure with deferred pay. But with Wilson’s contract coming off the books next year, Schneider might be more willing to offer more guaranteed money up front.

Regardless of how guaranteed money, signing bonuses and roster bonuses shake out when pen meets paper, the Seahawks shouldn’t hesitate to pay Metcalf. Despite earning such a lucrative deal with his sensational play over the past three years, even with a demotion to quarterback, he plans to only improve in the coming seasons as a center point. of their attack and the expected future production is well worth the investment. .